Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.700159 0.801545 0.911570 1.039727 1.184785 1.343765 1.531092
2025-01-26 0.570445 0.713561 0.881995 1.094352 1.354421 1.662002 2.052815
2025-02-02 0.478890 0.649882 0.866613 1.160209 1.546158 2.034661 2.698154
2025-02-09 0.391460 0.573458 0.820681 1.178642 1.680866 2.357122 3.332829
2025-02-16 0.320599 0.504588 0.771202 1.181822 1.793495 2.665024 3.993362
2025-02-23 0.266556 0.448702 0.729042 1.186214 1.905823 2.985500 4.715189
2025-03-02 0.223017 0.399985 0.688215 1.184027 2.005385 3.297812 5.465173
2025-03-09 0.192585 0.366471 0.664976 1.204444 2.141096 3.680478 6.371554
2025-03-16 0.163125 0.328656 0.627546 1.193797 2.221832 3.982334 7.182782
2025-03-23 0.144664 0.307314 0.615031 1.223831 2.375150 4.421940 8.277141
2025-03-30 0.124162 0.277895 0.582384 1.210871 2.447541 4.727170 9.170336
2025-04-06 0.110307 0.259271 0.567219 1.228388 2.578050 5.150421 10.324146
2025-04-13 0.093866 0.232220 0.531280 1.200163 2.618372 5.415808 11.226286
2025-04-20 0.086127 0.223236 0.531831 1.247987 2.819086 6.014803 12.845926
2025-04-27 0.080417 0.217916 0.539527 1.312451 3.063540 6.729784 14.780573
2025-05-04 0.071980 0.204157 0.525711 1.326505 3.200896 7.241528 16.358363
2025-05-11 0.063805 0.189342 0.506834 1.325712 3.304717 7.694248 17.863392
2025-05-18 0.056881 0.176400 0.490284 1.327758 3.415033 8.173178 19.478574
2025-05-25 0.050570 0.163795 0.472372 1.323468 3.509423 8.626914 21.087978
2025-06-01 0.046140 0.155717 0.464964 1.344915 3.669460 9.248196 23.145908
2025-06-08 0.040932 0.144101 0.445869 1.332299 3.741930 9.672302 24.790956
2025-06-15 0.037922 0.138769 0.443537 1.365078 3.936009 10.409021 27.258197
2025-06-22 0.033737 0.128609 0.425359 1.350361 4.002008 10.838766 29.024820